Polymarket is betting on a 56% chance that Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, will become the next Federal Reserve chairperson. In addition, Warsh has a 22% chance of being elected and Waller has a 12% chance of being elected.
In the forecast market, bets on National Economic Council Director Hassett to become the next Federal Reserve chairperson are again significantly ahead, with Polymarket rising to 54%, Kalshi rising to 51%, and Walsh and Waller equally ranking second and third in the probability of being nominated by Trump.